Joseph Keckeissen on The End of the Crisis

February 9, 2009 by Joseph Keckeissen

1. THE CREATION OF  MONEY
What  we have been witnessing is, according to James  Melcher: “the most massive creation of liquidity that the world has  known.” Even  before the recent  injections, monetary  infusion (M3) has been growing at 10% according to Huerta de Soto,  AMS at an annual rate  of  .9 billion ( as of January 20, 2008), Reserve  credit at 61%. This is the creation  of artificial fiat money, that reduces  the value  of all previous monetary elements  and  directly  leads to the ultimate fall of the dollar.

This, in Mises´s mentality  is the  sabotage  of the monetary system. The quantity  of money in actual existence, he held,  is the correct  quantity, and enables money to perform all the  functions  that a monetary system is designed  to  fulfill, enabling every sort of  economic calculation. “What economic  calculation requires  is a monetary system whose  functioning  is not sabotaged  by  government interference.”

 
For  Mises, inflation is the  increase  in the quantity  of the circulating medium, not  merely the general  rise  in  prices, which the rest  of the world calls inflation. This  increase, he stated in his lectures, is the  greatest  social  evil of all ages and the greatest  wastage of  capital. Its classic  effects  are the distortion of  accounting calculation,  the booms and the  subsequent  recessions, the wastage  of  capital (a plethora of mal-investments) with  the accompanying bankruptcies, unemployment, and generalized impoverishment. The present  crisis has made  evident other  effects  of this relentless tsunami  of liquidity: the great expansion  of the financial sector with all sorts  of new instruments, new  terminology, the devastating increase in national  debt, the introduction of new terms into our daily  life like  billions and even  trillions, causing  the  financial  world to  flounder in toxic  assets  and collateralized  debt  obligations.

The  correction of the elevated prices and costs (eg.  An  ordinary house that sells for a million dollars!!!)  is  accomplished  in the “bust”  that follows  every  boom, the  bursting  of  the bubble. The market would accomplish this automatically and immediately. But as long as  more  and more liquidity is  being  created, the  actual  bubbles  will never be  eliminated, and   more and more future  bubbles will appear,  even before today´s unrecognized  bubbles  of previous years have  bulged  out and been recognized.  The prime  cause of  crises is the multiplication of the circulating medium; its  cure  cannot logically be more of the  same.

Thus the  crisis cannot  end as long as we  continue inflating, bailing out sick institutions and  debasing the monetary unit  with artificial play money.     It  is  illogical to pretend that a massive wash of liquidity could possibly correct the problem of the overvalued  mortgages. The  excessive creation  of money produces an economic  disequilibrium in relation to the  value of the asset class to which the money is drawn.”Every time direct government payments have been tried, they have failed.” To show this, “one needs the Austrian theory of the business cycle. Government spending, if it takes place through the expansion of bank credit, will, if “successful,” result in another artificially created boom. The recovery thus generated will result in the long run in even worse economic distress, once that new boom in turn collapses. Nor can a policy of further monetary expansion indefinitely postpone disaster. Eventually people’s confidence in the monetary system will crumble, and a hyperinflation will result.” 

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