Joseph Keckeissen on The End of the Crisis

February 9, 2009 by Joseph Keckeissen

The  frantic measures they have been taking are surely outdoing the Hoover-Roosevelt interventions that were ineffective and did  not terminate the prolonged  depression of the 30´s. Will all this work?  Is the artificial creation of liquidity the  otros 2solution, as President-Elect Obama promised on Dec. 2: “We´re  going to be putting money in people´s pockets, so that they can spend……” The Tax Rebates of  165 billion failed to spark the  economy. Will the proposed  influx  of 8.5 trillions salvage the potholed balance sheets of Wall Street or  end the continuing downward pressure on home  prices or get  customers  back to the market? What has priority: stabilize the market or reduce foreclosures? Will investors  abandon the security (?) of their  newly acquired  government bonds and flock back to their haven on Wall Street?

A brief  review of what has been done so far: First came the  Troubled Asset Relief Program  of $700 million. It was originally  planned to buy up worthless mortgage-backed  securities. Then, without a change in name, it   metamorphosized  into investing cash and buying securities in troubled banks  with, for  some  examples, starting  with  30  billion in March for JP Morgan-Chase to rescue Bear  Stears, then 200 billion more to Fannie Mae  and Freddie Mac which were  seized on Sept  8, then 85 billion for American International Group, the largest insurer of banks and more  for Washington Mutual, the largest savings bank, then supposedly with $306 billion in assets with  $207 billion in mortgages, many of them  subprime.  Another $249 billion was absorbed   to prop up Citigroup  Then  to bolster  the Federal Deposit Insurance  fund another $5  billions  of debt  (July 7, 2008).  With socialistically fragranced novelties like the Central Bank auctioning  reserves  at the discount window (Dec. 12, 2007) or buying up commercial  paper (Sept.8, 2008) or “investing” in preferred shares of private institutions ($85 billion, October 22). As if this  were all. The next  brainstorm  was to bail out the big three  automakers (since  seemingly rejected) accompanied  by  $300 billion  in refinancing mortgage holders,  and yet another $176b  to fund State  rescue programs, and possibly more to evaporate  consumer debt. Wall Street  is sure soused  with liquidity!!! And the totals and the proposals are surging  upwards day  by  day.  And pray tell,  “what  about the “issues that had not been addressed?”

The  free market also  came in to lend a hand: as with  Bank  of America  buying up Merrill Lynch and Warren Buffet investing  $5  billion in Goldman Sachs (Sept. 25) Certainly, Milton Friedman´s accusation that the Fed  was asleep in  1930 cannot hold  water today, with the remedies already  proposed rising up to over $8.5 trillion dollars, with Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman saying “I´m  still not sure….whether the  economic team is thinking  big  enough” and  that the limit  could rise to ten trillion.

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